Events › E001

Russian MFA spokesperson warns Finland and Sweden of serious military and political consequences if they join NATO

The first explicit threat of military consequences as Finland's NATO debate began.

ID	E001
Type	A1 Explicit threat of force against Finland
Pillar	A · Adversary posture and intent
Event date	25 Feb 2022
Publicly known	25 Feb 2022, 12:00 EET
Attribution	Officially attributed
Target	Finland
Magnitude	Significant
Speaker	Spokesperson
Starting value	18.0
Half-life	30 days
Signal on 24 Oct 2026	0.0

Starting value = the type's severity multiplied by the attribution, target, magnitude and speaker factors. How it is calculated

Sources

The source tier says what the source can prove. Sources

This event has not been revised.