Events › E005

Russian MFA: Russia will take military-technical retaliatory steps if Finland joins NATO

An official ministry statement, so it carries minister-level speaker weight.

ID	E005
Type	A1 Explicit threat of force against Finland
Pillar	A · Adversary posture and intent
Event date	12 May 2022
Publicly known	12 May 2022, 12:00 EEST
Attribution	Officially attributed
Target	Finland
Magnitude	Significant
Speaker	Minister or ministry
Starting value	24.0
Half-life	30 days
Signal on 24 Oct 2026	0.0

Starting value = the type's severity multiplied by the attribution, target, magnitude and speaker factors. How it is calculated

Sources

The source tier says what the source can prove. Sources

This event has not been revised.

Official ministry statement coded at minister weight