Events › E026

Russian MFA amplifies Medvedev: a confrontation would mean the collapse of Finnish statehood

An explicit threat against Finland from the Security Council deputy chair.

ID	E026
Type	A1 Explicit threat of force against Finland
Pillar	A · Adversary posture and intent
Event date	11 Sep 2025
Publicly known	11 Sep 2025, 12:00 EEST
Attribution	Officially attributed
Target	Finland
Magnitude	Significant
Speaker	Security Council deputy chair
Starting value	15.0
Half-life	30 days
Signal on 24 Oct 2026	0.0

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This event has not been revised.