Events › E035

Russian aircraft suspected of violating Finnish airspace over the western Gulf of Finland

Part of a recurring pattern of violations over the Gulf of Finland.

ID	E035
Type	K6 Violation of airspace or territorial waters by state aircraft, vessels or military drones
Pillar	K · Kinetic and physical attacks
Event date	20 Aug 2026
Publicly known	20 Aug 2026, 12:00 EEST
Attribution	State-linked suspect
Target	Finland
Magnitude	Significant
Starting value	18.8
Half-life	21 days
Signal on 24 Oct 2026	2.2

Starting value = the type's severity multiplied by the attribution, target, magnitude and speaker factors. How it is calculated

Sources

The source tier says what the source can prove. Sources

This event has not been revised.